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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xC14E1840aaAA56e12409585AD2c2a74c161339a5-1723944811003RN1beachboy4primm
Record (consensus markets)54% (27–23, n=50)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$36K$13.4M$5.8M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #895PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)75% (3 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +25 pts n=19, ROI +23%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won60% of 40 at avg 45¢, ROI +16%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 25% of 8)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 43% of 14)22% (won 94% of 5518)29% (won 56% of 62)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 88% of 16)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 2)32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.