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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (234–194, n=428)45% (571–700, n=1271)62% (402–251, n=653)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$479K$9.4M$288K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #52PM monthly #1PM monthly #60PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (13 of 25 open)no open consensus position56% (100 of 178 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won55% of 390 at avg 53¢, ROI +12%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 408 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 26% of 27)11% (won 80% of 61)9% (won 92% of 37)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 45% of 161)35% (won 98% of 203)55% (won 99% of 226)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 59% of 132)35% (won 100% of 201)34% (won 100% of 138)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 80% of 70)20% (won 100% of 115)2% (won 100% of 7)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $30K—Pelicans $125
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $19K—Pelicans $135
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $323—Pelicans $143
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $357—Grizzlies $123