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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD2E82888200859f46Fc3605CC3b3d2f6Ee9eEEEa-1776953176201RN1beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)56% (10–8, n=18)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (537–652, n=1189)
Consensus PnL$13K$13.4M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #915PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)85% (50 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won79% of 14 at avg 65¢, ROI +20%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 50% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5518)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 100% of 2)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.