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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 98% (4294–107, n=4401) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 47% (1413–1577, n=2990) | 51% (28350–27349, n=55699) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $4.6M | $3.7M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (67 of 95 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (47 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −6 pts, n=13 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 4309 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 0% of 7) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 5% (won 95% of 59) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 31% of 16) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 40% (won 99% of 512) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 53% of 36) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 50% (won 100% of 633) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 99% of 4250) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 5% (won 100% of 65) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.