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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (601–699, n=1300)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)
Consensus PnL$16K$11.0M$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #218PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus53% (9 of 17 open)75% (83 of 110 open)no open consensus position51% (21 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=256———
Settled positions, side won58% of 1789 at avg 58¢, ROI −2%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 2% of 706)10% (won 79% of 58)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 49% of 43)36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 72% of 54)35% (won 99% of 194)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 99% of 986)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $63No $737——