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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (626–739, n=1365) | no settled market | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 62% (402–251, n=653) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | — | $9.4M | $288K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #218 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #64 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (293 of 398 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (11 of 20 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −2 pts, n=101 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 1988 at avg 58¢, ROI −2% | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 405 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 1% of 784) | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 46% of 50) | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 56% (won 99% of 225) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 73% of 62) | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 34% (won 100% of 137) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 99% of 1092) | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $193 | — | No $258K | — |