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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592breezybetsfantasy7788HomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)60% (61–40, n=101)52% (33–30, n=63)54% (7–6, n=13)54% (304–264, n=568)
Consensus PnL$172K$633$469K$309K
Tracked asPM monthly #61was PM monthly #808PM monthly #36PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position39% (7 of 18 open)0% (0 of 2 open)77% (49 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +34 pts n=15, ROI +30%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 59 at avg 61¢, ROI +41%90% of 30 at avg 52¢, ROI +35%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 2)0%20% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 87% of 15)20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢63% (won 100% of 37)37% (won 91% of 11)60% (won 100% of 3)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 14)13% (won 100% of 4)0%10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592breezybetsfantasy7788HomeRunHazard
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Packers $208—Vikings $5.6K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $222—76ers $313
Avalanche vs. Senators
same side · consensus Avalanche
—Senators $885—Senators $1.3K
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $550—Kraken $845
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $249—Timberwolves $66