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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xNuttawutBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)51% (1338–1286, n=2624)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)63% (1095–631, n=1726)
Consensus PnL-$50K$7.7M$4.1M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #541PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)81% (34 of 42 open)76% (232 of 305 open)71% (70 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +4 pts n=338, ROI +2%
  • NHL +9 pts n=64, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +5 pts n=129, ROI +9%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=945—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won52% of 2359 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 25% of 4)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 47% of 891)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 54% of 1375)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 74% of 89)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xNuttawutBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.4KNo $41
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421K—No $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306K—Yes $12K