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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xNuttawutBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)51% (1337–1288, n=2625)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL-$59K$7.6M$4.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #578PM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (32 of 36 open)66% (126 of 190 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +4 pts n=338, ROI +2%
  • NHL +9 pts n=64, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +5 pts n=129, ROI +9%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=945—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won52% of 2359 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 25% of 4)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 47% of 891)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 54% of 1375)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 74% of 89)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.