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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)93% (3664–283, n=3947)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$89K$11.2M$3.3M$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus45% (5 of 11 open)57% (12 of 21 open)61% (220 of 358 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +45 pts n=77, ROI +45%
  • NBA +39 pts n=343, ROI −3%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=517, ROI +37%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won100% of 999 at avg 62¢, ROI +18%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 77)10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 229)36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 295)35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 398)19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Novak Djokovic $7—Rinky Hijikata $16K—
Charlottesville: Murphy Cassone vs Stefan Kozlov
opposite sides · consensus Stefan Kozlov
Murphy Cassone $1—Stefan Kozlov $1.9K—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
Carole Monnet $8—Laura Samson $1.2K—
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
Alexandre Aubriot $20—Henri Haupt $886—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $655KNo $21K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges $5—Nuno Borges $3.9K—
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Robert Guna
Tomas Curras Abasolo $5—Tomas Curras Abasolo $341—
Chennai Open: Weronika Falkowska vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
Weronika Falkowska $1—Weronika Falkowska $129—