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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)92% (3727–317, n=4044)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$89K$3.3M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #24PM monthly #102PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)72% (209 of 289 open)72% (95 of 132 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0Flaznorpndb1primm
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Toby Samuel $5Jurij Rodionov $2.5K——
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Ryan Nijboer $2Juan Bautista Torres $15——