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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xbb299ce4867ea634a83a254e24d1ffc5c148947andb1primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (1100–635, n=1735)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)51% (28209–27250, n=55459)
Consensus PnL—$4.6M$3.7M$1.4M
Tracked as—PM monthly #110PM monthly #39PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (67 of 95 open)no open consensus position65% (46 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won—66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.