Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xbb299ce4867ea634a83a254e24d1ffc5c148947aprimmRN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$14.9M$2.9M
Tracked as—PM monthly #39PM monthly #35 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position48% (19 of 40 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic———Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.