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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (125–95, n=220) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $553 | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #948 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (28 of 52 open) | 43% (6 of 14 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 106 at avg 73¢, ROI −4% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 33% of 15) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 57% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 85% of 13) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 97% of 71) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $166K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | Commanders $1.1M | — |