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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4joseph00677sainttroplayndb10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
| 0xc5d909a16130A0A0b61Af3dB09a89e108093b188-1780593472190 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (198–113, n=311) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (14018–15515, n=29533) |
| Consensus PnL | $28K | $11.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 40% (39 of 98 open) | 57% (58 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 166 at avg 64¢, ROI +38% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 100% of 8) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 40) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 100% of 50) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 99% of 68) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc5d909a16130A0A0b61Af3dB09a89e108093b188-1780593472190 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $247K | Pelicans $939 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $44K | Pelicans $317 |
| Spread: Hawks (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Hawks $202 | Pacers $111 |
| Bears vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Bears | — | Bears $133K | Bears $2.4K |