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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc5d909a16130A0A0b61Af3dB09a89e108093b188-1780593472190 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (196–126, n=322) | 45% (543–652, n=1195) | 66% (876–457, n=1333) | 47% (14154–15703, n=29857) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $11.2M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 84% (159 of 189 open) | 71% (90 of 126 open) | 57% (32 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 166 at avg 64¢, ROI +38% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 100% of 8) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 40) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 100% of 50) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 99% of 68) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.