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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (207–111, n=318) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) |
| Consensus PnL | $371K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #187 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (46 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (127 of 142 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 371 at avg 55¢, ROI +12% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 19% of 104) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 43% of 63) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 76% of 46) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 94% of 158) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | — | Yes $33K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $366 | — | Yes $21K | — |