← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (206–111, n=317) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $371K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #187 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (53 of 70 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (144 of 160 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 371 at avg 55¢, ROI +12% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 19% of 104) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 43% of 63) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 76% of 46) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 94% of 158) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $366 | — | Yes $20K | — |