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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)24% (382–1198, n=1580)45% (547–663, n=1210)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$101K$11.0M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #557PM monthly #1—
Sides with the consensus63% (10 of 16 open)65% (42 of 65 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −3 pts, n=448——
Settled positions, side won38% of 1359 at avg 40¢, ROI +2%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢58% (won 1% of 795)10% (won 81% of 57)0%
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 35% of 34)36% (won 98% of 201)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 53% of 40)35% (won 99% of 196)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 97% of 490)19% (won 100% of 109)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $95Yes $4.2K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.6KYes $70—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $607—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $276No $747—