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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489CORGIIBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)85% (124–22, n=146)62% (395–247, n=642)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$25K$4.5M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #714PM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)90% (147 of 163 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won87% of 142 at avg 84¢, ROI +4%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 0% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 40% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 198)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 65% of 20)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 97% of 111)2% (won 100% of 7)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.