Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489CORGIIRN1surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)85% (124–22, n=146)62% (395–247, n=642)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$25K$4.5M$13.4M$9.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #714PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)71% (5 of 7 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic———NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won87% of 142 at avg 84¢, ROI +4%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 0% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2537)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 40% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5518)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 65% of 20)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 97% of 111)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.