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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xdc3E831cad | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1066–1565, n=2631) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $19.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #289 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (70 of 89 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (146 of 163 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=261 | — | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 3268 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 56% (won 7% of 1835) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 45% of 120) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 63% of 126) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 95% of 1187) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xdc3E831cad | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | No $857K | — |