Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8FlaznorpRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)67% (6–3, n=9)74% (1117–383, n=1500)67% (689–338, n=1027)61% (33–21, n=54)
Consensus PnL$753$139K-$92K$32K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943PM monthly #23PM monthly #46 + pinnedPM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (150 of 210 open)69% (9 of 13 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +47 pts n=18, ROI +45%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 46¢, ROI +61%52% of 234 at avg 50¢, ROI −3%100% of 208 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%100% of 22 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 8% of 73)6% (won 100% of 13)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 1)25% (won 46% of 59)13% (won 100% of 26)36% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 2)15% (won 68% of 34)30% (won 100% of 62)41% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up0%29% (won 97% of 68)51% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8FlaznorpRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—FUT Esports $7—MOUZ $295K
Brisbane 3: Cruz Hewitt vs Akira Santillan
opposite sides · consensus Cruz Hewitt
—Cruz Hewitt $1.7KAkira Santillan $2.8K—
Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 India?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $134No $11—
W35 Heraklion: Matilde Paoletti vs Jennifer Ruggeri
opposite sides · consensus Matilde Paoletti
—Jennifer Ruggeri $2Matilde Paoletti $2—
New Zealand vs. India: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8.1KOver $4.6K—
New Zealand vs. India: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $909—
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)
same side · consensus New Zealand
—New Zealand $2.6KNew Zealand $25—
New Zealand vs. India: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $2—
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 India?
same side · consensus No
—No $461No $265—
Will New Zealand vs. India end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $320No $179—