Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
New Zealand vs. India: O/U 4.5
4 of 18 top Polymarket traders hold Under (22%) · Under at 0.1¢ · $15K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
18
Under 22%
1 arb excluded
$15.0K
$-3.0K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 18 top traders (22%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 33.6¢ | $4.2K | $8.1K | +$3.9K | 51% 2468-2344 (4812) |
 RN1 | Overavg 31.1¢ | $2.1K | $4.6K | +$2.5K | 57% 4429-3409 (7838) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Underavg 62.8¢ | $1.1K | $921.28 | -$154.74 | 55% 1628-1331 (2959) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 39¢ | $335.79 | $697.41 | +$361.62 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 62.8¢ | $740.22 | $223.87 | -$516.36 | |
LU LuckyLoo | Overavg 37.5¢ | $415.91 | $894.32 | +$478.42 | 37% 200-345 (545) |
FE ferdinand2 | Overavg 21¢ | $46.27 | $157.68 | +$116.74 | 50% 1181-1203 (2384) |
SE sentrioCTR | Underavg 39.5¢ | $118.49 | $74.42 | -$44.07 | 41% 525-744 (1269) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 41.2¢ | $60.07 | $73.11 | +$32.82 | 47% 1458-1629 (3087) |
 dips.<$100 | Overavg 55¢ | $23.1 | $41.98 | +$18.88 | 45% 506-615 (1121) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Overavg 30.4¢ | $10.41 | $27.71 | +$17.3 | 32% 524-1101 (1625) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Overavg 75¢ | $24.6 | $26.57 | +$1.97 | 53% 6040-5408 (11448) |
US User7429<$100 | Overavg 55¢ | $15.95 | $23.49 | +$7.54 | 32% 182-386 (568) |
NO NotJump<$100 | Overavg 21¢ | $4.2 | $16.2 | +$12 | 54% 410-348 (758) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 32.3¢ | $21.25 | $12.49 | -$8.76 | 46% 420-485 (905) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Overavg 22¢ | $2.89 | $10.64 | +$7.75 | 33% 531-1071 (1602) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Overavg 55¢ | $7.15 | $10.53 | +$3.38 | 43% 321-434 (755) |
0X 0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8CTR | Underavg 73.2¢ | $10.5K | $7.15 | $-10.5K | — 2-7 (9) |
AR ARocky33<$100 | Overavg 55¢ | $4.4 | $6.48 | +$2.08 | 78% 712-201 (913) |
RO Rocky31 | Overavg 21¢ | $456.22 | $5.65 | +$406.02 | 28% 46-119 (165) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 30¢ | $4.28 | $2.71 | -$1.57 | 32% 510-1077 (1587) |
Invested
$4,184.01
Value
$8.1K
PnL
+$3.9K
Record
51%
2468-2344 (4812)
RN1Invested
$2,070.26
Value
$4.6K
PnL
+$2.5K
Record
57%
4429-3409 (7838)
Invested
$1,076.01
Value
$921.28
PnL
-$154.74
Record
55%
1628-1331 (2959)
Both legs:
Invested
$415.91
Value
$894.32
PnL
+$478.42
Record
37%
200-345 (545)
Invested
$46.27
Value
$157.68
PnL
+$116.74
Record
50%
1181-1203 (2384)
Invested
$118.49
Value
$74.42
PnL
-$44.07
Record
41%
525-744 (1269)
Invested
$60.07
Value
$73.11
PnL
+$32.82
Record
47%
1458-1629 (3087)
dips.<$100Invested
$23.1
Value
$41.98
PnL
+$18.88
Record
45%
506-615 (1121)
Invested
$10.41
Value
$27.71
PnL
+$17.3
Record
32%
524-1101 (1625)
Invested
$24.6
Value
$26.57
PnL
+$1.97
Record
53%
6040-5408 (11448)
Invested
$15.95
Value
$23.49
PnL
+$7.54
Record
32%
182-386 (568)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$16.2
PnL
+$12
Record
54%
410-348 (758)
Invested
$21.25
Value
$12.49
PnL
-$8.76
Record
46%
420-485 (905)
Invested
$2.89
Value
$10.64
PnL
+$7.75
Record
33%
531-1071 (1602)
Invested
$7.15
Value
$10.53
PnL
+$3.38
Record
43%
321-434 (755)
Invested
$10,467.83
Value
$7.15
PnL
$-10.5K
Record
—
2-7 (9)
Invested
$4.4
Value
$6.48
PnL
+$2.08
Record
78%
712-201 (913)
Invested
$456.22
Value
$5.65
PnL
+$406.02
Record
28%
46-119 (165)
Invested
$4.28
Value
$2.71
PnL
-$1.57
Record
32%
510-1077 (1587)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Over — $8.1K
RN1
Over — $4.6K
GoalLineGhost
ARBArbitrage — excluded
LuckyLoo
Over — $894.32
ferdinand2
Over — $157.68
sentrio
CTRUnder — $74.42
suntori
Over — $73.11
dips.
Over — $41.98
LightParadox
Over — $27.71
cigarettes
Over — $26.57