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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176BreakTheBankndb1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)50% (5008–4940, n=9948)41% (616–869, n=1485)63% (1100–635, n=1735)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$81K$8.4M$4.6M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #897PM monthly #1PM monthly #110Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (30 of 34 open)71% (67 of 95 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +38 pts n=1816, ROI +38%
  • MLB +37 pts n=455, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=68, ROI +36%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=158Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won89% of 3058 at avg 56¢, ROI +26%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 33% of 373)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 196)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 92% of 551)36% (won 98% of 212)18% (won 40% of 283)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 98% of 1351)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 58% of 348)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 99% of 783)20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176BreakTheBankndb1weflyhigh
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $425KNo $350K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K—