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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| 0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (500–64, n=564) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | -$30K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (26 of 32 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | 33% (4 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=101 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 832 at avg 92¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 36% of 11) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 25% of 4) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 59% of 29) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 95% (won 93% of 788) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11 | No $202K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $1.1M | Commanders $32K |