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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)46% (284–338, n=622)45% (576–717, n=1293)35% (3672–6674, n=10346)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)
Consensus PnL$2.3M$7.3M$3.1M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #376PM monthly #3PM monthly #126PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensus65% (77 of 119 open)77% (27 of 35 open)48% (31 of 64 open)69% (247 of 356 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won51% of 714 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 6% of 363)10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 62% of 21)35% (won 98% of 206)—16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 96% of 25)35% (won 100% of 204)—16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 99% of 305)20% (won 100% of 116)—39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Grizzlies $14KThunder $20KGrizzlies $668
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Timberwolves $199Pelicans $384Timberwolves $72
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $50Grizzlies $12KGrizzlies $1.0K
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $19KCavaliers $2.6K
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.1KOver $5.3K
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $769Bucks $11K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $399Pelicans $11K—
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $9.0KUnder $233
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $7.5KOver $108
South Florida vs. East Carolina
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
——South Florida $5.7KEast Carolina $69
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.8KOver $96
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Alice Tubello $20Bianca Andreescu $2.7K
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus T1
——Karmine Corp $821T1 $40
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Jazz $396—Mavericks $15
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
——Raptors $353Bucks $26
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $337Raptors $11
Raptors vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $523K—Raptors $4.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Ducks vs. Flames
same side · consensus Flames
——Ducks $13KDucks $59
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $11KUnder $377
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $11KUnder $140
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $6.8KUnder $192
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
——Hawks $3.1KHawks $3.1K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $1.9KCeltics $1.9K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $2.2KCeltics $845
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $466Under $197
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Raptors $214—Raptors $56
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sharks
——Wild $246Wild $13