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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (427–151, n=578)no settled market68% (307–142, n=449)
Consensus PnL—$58K—-$39K
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #158PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (104 of 151 open)no open consensus position36% (4 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)19% (won 10% of 96)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)21% (won 35% of 105)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)27% (won 54% of 132)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)33% (won 91% of 163)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cFlaznorpndb1RN1
Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton
opposite sides · consensus Lui Maxted
—Lui Maxted $2.4K—Hynek Barton $3.2K
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
same side · consensus Daniel Rincon
—Daniel Rincon $2.6K—Daniel Rincon $15K
Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka
same side · consensus Sebastian Baez
—Daniil Glinka $849—Daniil Glinka $7.3K
Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $981—No $2.1K
Hersonissos 3: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
—Gilles Arnaud Bailly $140—Gilles Arnaud Bailly $1.2K
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
same side · consensus Pierre-Hugues Herbert
—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $54—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $685