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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (23179–9576, n=32755) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $164K | $6.1M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #94 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (100 of 113 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 61% (138 of 227 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −2 pts, n=541 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 2880 at avg 60¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 2% of 1006) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 45% of 112) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 65% of 156) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 96% of 1606) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase? same side · consensus Yes | No $12 | — | No $33 | — |