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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (59–20, n=79) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $31K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #860 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (8 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −13 pts, n=20 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 79 at avg 78¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 25% of 4) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 86% of 7) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 85% of 62) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $50K | — | Yes $28K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $99K | — | No $590 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |