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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (59–20, n=79) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $21K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #860 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −13 pts, n=20 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 79 at avg 78¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 25% of 4) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 17% of 6) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 85% of 62) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $51K | — | Yes $28K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | — | Yes $171K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $102K | — | No $607 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |