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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BiggggggggprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6645, n=10286)20% (1343–5395, n=6738)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$566K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #740PM monthly #9PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus44% (12 of 27 open)69% (212 of 306 open)50% (9 of 18 open)56% (44 of 79 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Economy −5 pts, n=113——
Settled positions, side won—66% of 3892 at avg 65¢, ROI +1%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 7% of 1167)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 43% of 183)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 67% of 184)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—61% (won 98% of 2358)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BiggggggggprimmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $6.0K—Ravens $9.7KJaguars $1.7K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $73—Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $365
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.2K—Florida Atlantic $41K—
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $58—Ravens $27K—
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Ducks $20K——Oilers $686
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
James Madison $12K——Southern Miss $832
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.8KOver $1.1K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $4.2K—Over $749—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.6K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Spread: Jaguars (-19.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $425——Jaguars $1.7K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
——James Madison $1.6KSouthern Miss $477
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $253
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $909—Over $33—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $560Jaguars $174
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3——Under $338
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $240K——Jaguars $17K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $64K——Jaguars $1.5K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $18K—Under $325—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4.8K——Under $3.1K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 36.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.9K—Under $8—
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
Yuta Shimizu $5.5K——Yuta Shimizu $342
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $70——Ravens $2.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.1KRavens $654
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360