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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1Vale54holi
Record (consensus markets)35% (3635–6656, n=10291)45% (573–710, n=1283)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)40% (299–445, n=744)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$14.8M$34K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #3PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #119
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)85% (29 of 34 open)50% (14 of 28 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———Elections −1 pts, n=182
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%41% of 492 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)52% (won 3% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)6% (won 32% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)7% (won 64% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)35% (won 95% of 172)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1Vale54holi
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K—
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
opposite sides · consensus Harold Mayot
Sho Shimabukuro $23—Harold Mayot $118—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $6.7K—Alexandra Shubladze $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—