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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorphaveagooddayjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)35% (3646–6660, n=10306)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)35% (1617–2980, n=4597)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.6M$22K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #419PM monthly #10PM monthly #116PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus74% (25 of 34 open)68% (131 of 193 open)85% (106 of 124 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −2 pts, n=690—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%55% of 3042 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)39% (won 1% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)3% (won 42% of 106)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)6% (won 62% of 169)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)52% (won 96% of 1585)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorphaveagooddayjoseph00677
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Canadiens $27KUtah $331——
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $26KUtah $2——
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
James Kent Trotter $13KAndres Andrade $4.7K——
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
Blues $15KDevils $4——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari $12KAliaksandra Sasnovich $665——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
UTSA $7.0KFlorida Atlantic $83——
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
Golden Knights $5.9KRed Wings $7——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.9KOver $425——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3Under $8——
Blues vs. Devils
same side · consensus Devils
Devils $28KDevils $10——
Ducks vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
Ducks $20KDucks $125——
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $16KThiago Seyboth Wild $2.8K——
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
Bruins $15KBruins $858——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flyers
Flyers $353Flyers $284——