Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yuta Shimizu — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yuta Shimizu
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
Resolved Yuta Shimizu. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Yuta Shimizu. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Yuta Shimizu 75%
1 arb excluded
$13.3K
$2.2K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 22 top traders (77%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE ferrariChampions2026 | Yuta Shimizuavg 68.9¢ | $3.8K | $5.5K | +$1.7K | 42% 8015-11202 (19217) |
FL Flaznorp | Yuta Shimizuavg 91.4¢ | $3.2K | $3.5K | +$247.13 | 51% 26028-24687 (50715) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Omar Jasikaavg 4.9¢ | $180.89 | — | -$180.89 | 46% 1576-1854 (3430) |
38 38791873984189 | Yuta Shimizuavg 82.4¢ | $1.0K | $870.47 | +$75.15 | 48% 61419-66265 (127684) |
TH thestingsnake | Yuta Shimizuavg 88¢ | $1.5K | $1.1K | +$186.35 | 60% 4468-2984 (7452) |
1L 1lovejump | Yuta Shimizuavg 91.3¢ | $1.1K | $836.26 | +$28.64 | 53% 802-712 (1514) |
 RN1 | Yuta Shimizuavg 76¢ | $350.47 | $445.44 | +$94.97 | 53% 61517-53815 (115332) |
 0xheavy888 | Yuta Shimizuavg 62¢ | $207.08 | $334 | +$126.92 | 56% 7973-6352 (14325) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Yuta Shimizuavg 99.8¢ | $217.81 | $218.25 | +$0.44 | 34% 19319-36895 (56214) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | Yuta Shimizuavg 78.2¢ | $109.45 | $127.08 | +$17.63 | 52% 14538-13223 (27761) |
| └ Yuta Shimizu leg | Yuta Shimizuavg 78.2¢ | $99.38 | $127.08 | +$27.7 | |
| └ Omar Jasika leg | Omar Jasikaavg 9.1¢ | $10.07 | — | -$10.07 | |
EU Eulhunter | Yuta Shimizuavg 91.4¢ | $142.07 | $154.97 | +$12.87 | 54% 6296-5358 (11654) |
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100 | Omar Jasikaavg 19.7¢ | $76.37 | — | -$76.37 | 51% 4775-4634 (9409) |
LI LilybaeumCTR | Omar Jasikaavg 37¢ | $132.79 | — | -$132.79 | 61% 14400-9333 (23733) |
DI dips.CTR<$100 | Omar Jasikaavg 0.2¢ | $0.68 | — | -$0.68 | 47% 10679-12216 (22895) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Yuta Shimizuavg 60.9¢ | $46.89 | $77.01 | +$30.12 | 50% 21258-21529 (42787) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Yuta Shimizuavg 92¢ | $67.24 | $73.11 | +$5.87 | 51% 6382-6167 (12549) |
BI BillBenter2026<$100 | Yuta Shimizuavg 78¢ | $50.69 | $65 | +$14.31 | 57% 19351-14325 (33676) |
 TRCM<$100 | Yuta Shimizuavg 93.9¢ | $28.18 | $30 | +$1.82 | 55% 4065-3281 (7346) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Yuta Shimizuavg 92.4¢ | $9.04 | $9.78 | +$0.75 | 66% 24304-12394 (36698) |
EF efntrick<$100 | Yuta Shimizuavg 61¢ | $6.1 | $8.41 | +$3.31 | 48% 3665-3926 (7591) |
FL flatbarrel<$100 | Yuta Shimizuavg 90.5¢ | $9.15 | $0.16 | +$0.23 | 58% 2809-2012 (4821) |
 VeryLucky888 | Yuta Shimizuavg 62¢ | $953.55 | $0.01 | +$15.38 | 58% 46840-33772 (80612) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Omar Jasikaavg 8¢ | $13.45 | — | +$1.55 | 65% 5297-2913 (8210) |
Invested
$3,805.19
Value
$5.5K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
42%
8015-11202 (19217)
Invested
$3,213.97
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$247.13
Record
51%
26028-24687 (50715)
Invested
$180.89
Value
—
PnL
-$180.89
Record
46%
1576-1854 (3430)
Invested
$1,026.06
Value
$870.47
PnL
+$75.15
Record
48%
61419-66265 (127684)
Invested
$1,497.22
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$186.35
Record
60%
4468-2984 (7452)
Invested
$1,119.19
Value
$836.26
PnL
+$28.64
Record
53%
802-712 (1514)
RN1Invested
$350.47
Value
$445.44
PnL
+$94.97
Record
53%
61517-53815 (115332)
0xheavy888Invested
$207.08
Value
$334
PnL
+$126.92
Record
56%
7973-6352 (14325)
Invested
$217.81
Value
$218.25
PnL
+$0.44
Record
34%
19319-36895 (56214)
Invested
$109.45
Value
$127.08
PnL
+$17.63
Record
52%
14538-13223 (27761)
Both legs:
Invested
$142.07
Value
$154.97
PnL
+$12.87
Record
54%
6296-5358 (11654)
Invested
$76.37
Value
—
PnL
-$76.37
Record
51%
4775-4634 (9409)
Invested
$132.79
Value
—
PnL
-$132.79
Record
61%
14400-9333 (23733)
Invested
$0.68
Value
—
PnL
-$0.68
Record
47%
10679-12216 (22895)
Invested
$46.89
Value
$77.01
PnL
+$30.12
Record
50%
21258-21529 (42787)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$67.24
Value
$73.11
PnL
+$5.87
Record
51%
6382-6167 (12549)
Invested
$50.69
Value
$65
PnL
+$14.31
Record
57%
19351-14325 (33676)
TRCM<$100Invested
$28.18
Value
$30
PnL
+$1.82
Record
55%
4065-3281 (7346)
Invested
$9.04
Value
$9.78
PnL
+$0.75
Record
66%
24304-12394 (36698)
Invested
$6.1
Value
$8.41
PnL
+$3.31
Record
48%
3665-3926 (7591)
Invested
$9.15
Value
$0.16
PnL
+$0.23
Record
58%
2809-2012 (4821)
VeryLucky888Invested
$953.55
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$15.38
Record
58%
46840-33772 (80612)
Invested
$13.45
Value
—
PnL
+$1.55
Record
65%
5297-2913 (8210)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ferrariChampions2026
Yuta Shimizu — $5.5K
Flaznorp
Yuta Shimizu — $3.5K
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTROmar Jasika — $0
38791873984189
Yuta Shimizu — $870.47
thestingsnake
Yuta Shimizu — $1.1K
1lovejump
Yuta Shimizu — $836.26
RN1
Yuta Shimizu — $445.44
0xheavy888
Yuta Shimizu — $334
xtxpleasecallme
Yuta Shimizu — $218.25
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
ARBArbitrage — excluded