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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026btnaFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6645, n=10286)66% (42–22, n=64)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$55K$3.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #740PM monthly #548PM monthly #10PM monthly #90
Sides with the consensus50% (14 of 28 open)70% (7 of 10 open)72% (97 of 135 open)72% (53 of 74 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—67% of 42 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—26% (won 36% of 11)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 67% of 6)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 64% of 14)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 100% of 11)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026btnaFlaznorpndb1
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $18KNo $195—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.4KNo $319—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $555—Florida Atlantic $157—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3—Under $502—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $13K—
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $1.3K—Harold Mayot $890—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $42—Southern Miss $16—