Consensus PnL $12K · win rate 71% (42–17, n=59) · PM monthly #510 · holds 8 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$12.1K
Record
42W / 17L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 59 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#531
Source
PM monthly #510
Record (90 d)
32/50 · 64%
Trades
30
Markets
64
Volume
$52.8K
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Top consensus positions
8 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 8 on the consensus side (50%)- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?Yes $23K · now 97¢ · in at 49¢with the consensus (41% of 29)
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $17K · now 97¢ · in at 51¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $17K · now 97¢ · in at 50¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $12K · now 95¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (53% of 20)
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $12K · now 96¢ · in at 46¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $5.2K · now 94¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (42% of 28)
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $4.3K · now 96¢ · in at 54¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $3.3K · now 95¢ · in at 40¢with the consensus (21% of 30)
Specialties
42 settled consensus markets · held side won 67% at an average entry of 53¢- Soccer
+17 pts
side won 78% of 23 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +15%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 26%(won 36% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 67% of 6)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 64% of 14)
- 70¢ and up: 26%(won 100% of 11)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.