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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1strominion
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6652, n=10293)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.0M$5.3M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #558PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus63% (22 of 35 open)no open consensus position64% (92 of 143 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)—
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)—
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)—
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1strominion
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $79—Under $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Over $1.6K—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $3.2K—KKS Lech Poznań $472—
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
FK Kauno Žalgiris $69—FC Lugano $299—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3—Under $316—
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
FC Twente $264—Páfos FC $21—
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $36K—Filip Misolic $18K—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $26K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $30K—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $10—
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $14K—Bianca Andreescu $5.8K—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $388—Under $18K—
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
Federico Coria $6.6K—Federico Coria $5.5K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.6K—Under $110—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Over $360—