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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1000monkeysBreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)57% (366–276, n=642)46% (560–666, n=1226)65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$94K$11.2M$4.2M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #902PM monthly #2PM monthly #150PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)57% (12 of 21 open)74% (35 of 47 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +34 pts n=473, ROI +52%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won68% of 473 at avg 34¢, ROI +52%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 35% of 188)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 87% of 181)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 95% of 94)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 10)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1000monkeysBreakTheBankndb1primm
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $642KNo $234K—