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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1l2ihj34li12u34CORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (204–183, n=387)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$210K$4.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #434PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)25% (1 of 4 open)61% (28 of 46 open)73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +50 pts n=191, ROI +50%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 191 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢47% (won 100% of 90)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 100)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up0%2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1l2ihj34li12u34CORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $228Magic $51K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $25K—Over $2.4K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $161Magic $13K