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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1lovejumpRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)65% (62–34, n=96)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$96K$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #982PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)61% (28 of 46 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +18 pts n=348, ROI −1%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=57—NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won96% of 414 at avg 81¢, ROI −1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 4)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 80% of 20)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 95% of 66)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 98% of 324)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1lovejumpRN1beachboy4
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Dylan Dietrich $660Liam Draxl $5.2K—
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $145Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K—