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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 1lovejump | sainttroplay | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (62–34, n=96) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$96K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #982 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=57 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 418 at avg 80¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 20% of 5) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 80% of 20) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 96% of 67) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 98% of 326) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 1lovejump | sainttroplay | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl | Dylan Dietrich $660 | — | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $145 | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K | — |