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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 254321758 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (217–114, n=331) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $117K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #612 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −2 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 315 at avg 62¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 16% of 73) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 40% of 35) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 50% of 54) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 49% (won 95% of 153) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 254321758 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | Yes $170K | — |