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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 254321758 | beachboy4 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (217–114, n=331) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $117K | $5.8M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #612 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −2 pts, n=12 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 315 at avg 62¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 16% of 73) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 40% of 35) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 50% of 54) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 49% (won 95% of 153) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 254321758 | beachboy4 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | — | Yes $170K |