← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 2B9S | RN1 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 9% (1680–16688, n=18368) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $97K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (80 of 134 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=647 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 4% of 12244 at avg 4¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 99% (won 3% of 12071) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 53% of 66) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 77% of 22) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 78% of 85) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 2B9S | RN1 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.5K | — | — | Yes $65 |