Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
2HAEdenizze46m3SineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)86% (6–1, n=7)57% (34–26, n=60)17% (155–762, n=917)97% (214–6, n=220)
Consensus PnL$572$1.1M$536K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #890PM monthly #162PM monthly #2PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (23 of 27 open)73% (319 of 435 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Tech ±0 pts, n=36—
Settled positions, side won——93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢——7% (won 11% of 46)—
Entries 30–50¢——1% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢——1% (won 75% of 8)—
Entries 70¢ and up——90% (won 100% of 565)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market2HAEdenizze46m3SineNooneEI
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $7.5KYes $59—
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $32KYes $87—
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.2KYes $6—
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $45Yes $5—