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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 319113331313111 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (74–25, n=99) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | -$7.6K | $8.4M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #965 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 54% (22 of 41 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 64 at avg 70¢, ROI −7% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 67% of 3) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 100% of 4) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 100% of 26) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 48% (won 100% of 31) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 319113331313111 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $425K | No $350K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — |