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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
319113331313111Flaznorpjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)100% (10–0, n=10)74% (426–151, n=577)no settled market43% (111–150, n=261)
Consensus PnL$4.3K$46K—$276K
Tracked asPM monthly #889PM monthly #20PM monthly #7PM monthly #30
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)68% (66 of 97 open)no open consensus position50% (8 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 61)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 100% of 18)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market319113331313111Flaznorpjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
opposite sides · consensus Marvin Moeller
—Marvin Moeller $237—Nikolai Barsukov $923
W35 Heraklion: Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Anja Stankovic
opposite sides · consensus Sapfo Sakellaridi
—Sapfo Sakellaridi $74—Anja Stankovic $66
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $12K—Lorenzo Sonego $49K
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs SANCTUM (BO3) - United21 Group C
same side · consensus NAVI Junior
NAVI Junior $573NAVI Junior $9——
Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Daniel Altmaier
—Adrien Gobat $1—Adrien Gobat $525
Nepal Premier League: Sudurpaschim Royals vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Sudurpaschim Royals
—Sudurpaschim Royals $183—Sudurpaschim Royals $142
Victoria Women T20I: Namibia Women vs Uganda Women
same side · consensus Uganda Women
—Namibia Women $10—Namibia Women $33