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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
319113331313111Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)75% (74–25, n=99)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL-$7.6K$1.4M$4.6M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #965PM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)66% (106 of 161 open)71% (67 of 95 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won98% of 64 at avg 70¢, ROI −7%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 67% of 3)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 100% of 4)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 100% of 26)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 100% of 31)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market319113331313111Flaznorpndb1primm
Counter-Strike: STATE vs TheChampionGG (BO3) - United21 Group C
same side · consensus STATE
STATE $293STATE $131——