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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
328.400.funde46m3
Record (consensus markets)no settled market17% (156–789, n=945)
Consensus PnL$1.7K$536K
Tracked asPM monthly #97PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)73% (322 of 439 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17
Settled positions, side won75% of 52 at avg 66¢, ROI +3%62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 10% of 10)38% (won 18% of 2197)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 83% of 6)7% (won 53% of 397)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 80% of 5)9% (won 71% of 531)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 94% of 31)46% (won 97% of 2679)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market328.400.funde46m3
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9KYes $19
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
same side · consensus Yes
No $156No $7
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $29